I created the above graph sometime in 2012 after the 2011 Australian Census data was released. I didn't show my work in my excel document, so I don't know how I came to the adjustments after 2011, I assume I did some averaging and used that as the line is pretty flat after the known data.
I wasn't that close, I actually shared that image above on a forum and got told, no way would Australia be at almost 25% no-religion at the 2016 Census... yeah I was way under... glad I was.
Well I've done the graph again, saving my work this time. I averaged out the change over the last 10 census' (including the one where Christianity went up, and the one were no-religion went down and got the below... so this is pretty rough. Taking this as fact, Christianity will disappear between the 2111 and 2115 census. Of course it will be irrelevant to public policy long before then. It will be irrelevant as some economists put any idea at a rising tipping point or around 30%. 30% is when the idea (in this case non-religion) becomes popular enough to spend time addressing. 30% is when the rest of populace, politicians included need to start taking heed. Good luck, of course appealing to a bunch of non-religious, people who probably think at length on things that concern them, and likely have all different conclusions based on the data they have received.
Christianity will become a minority after 2041, this is pretty exciting as it is within my lifetime, hopefully no other magical or poor thinking takes its place of course.
I have lots of friends who have a much better grasp on statistics than I ever want to hold, so I am sorry that this has likely hurt your brain with its poor assumptions...
It is a fact that came out of this census, that us the non-religious outnumber the Catholics.
Showing posts with label Australia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Australia. Show all posts
Monday, 3 July 2017
Tuesday, 28 January 2014
Advance Australia fair
Well another Australia day has come and gone, and it has made me
think of a couple things. There was a lot of Australian pride on display
out and about. I am proud to be Australian, but I think our patriotism
is moving towards Jingoism, towards aggressive stop the boats, keep em
in Indonesian waters attitudes. What's next getting our kids to stand,
hand on heart every day reciting a pledge of our undying narrow-minded
love for Australia. I can see it now, Teacher: Lets all stand to say the
Australian pledge of allegiance. Students: Aussie, Aussie, Aussie...
OI, OI, OI.
I usually think of Socrates when I see people adorned in the Australian flag, or the boxing kangaroo. Socrates supposedly said said "I am not an Athenian or a Greek, but a citizen of the world", I think we need to remember that, and try and tear down the barriers of nationality.
The second thing I was thinking of is related to the first, a particular member of Sydney atheists is an "illegal" refugee, meaning they came here after not being able to get to the embassy in their home country to apply to refugee status. This person is extremely intelligent, fast becoming very articulate in English and would be an enormous asset to this country. However there is no precedent for leaving your home country due to non-belief... sure if you believe differently to your home country then you are welcome here, even if you have no intention of contributing to society or integrating. But surely non-believers could just fake it right? Forget about the possible punishments in some of these countries if your non-belief is found out, or you show any sign of independent and rational thought...
Then while I was thinking of what could possibly done to help this person and many others that are out there I hear the oft unheard second verse of our national anthem and the below bars stuck out at me;
"For those who've come across the seas, We've boundless plains to share"
Maybe we need to change those lines...
Maybe we need to actually evaluate peoples cases a bit better and keep up on current reasons for refugees, it won't be long before we have homosexual refugees fleeing Russia's draconian homophobic laws, and non-believing refugees from the Middle Eastern, European, and African theocracies. As the aforementioned persons case is a tenuous one, I have spared details. But perhaps if everyone could write their local member, write the newspapers and let them know that non-believers are being persecuted and are likely to come here as refugees, then maybe awareness can be raised and this is the last time we lose someone who is not just a nice person, but would be a boon for any country.
I usually think of Socrates when I see people adorned in the Australian flag, or the boxing kangaroo. Socrates supposedly said said "I am not an Athenian or a Greek, but a citizen of the world", I think we need to remember that, and try and tear down the barriers of nationality.
The second thing I was thinking of is related to the first, a particular member of Sydney atheists is an "illegal" refugee, meaning they came here after not being able to get to the embassy in their home country to apply to refugee status. This person is extremely intelligent, fast becoming very articulate in English and would be an enormous asset to this country. However there is no precedent for leaving your home country due to non-belief... sure if you believe differently to your home country then you are welcome here, even if you have no intention of contributing to society or integrating. But surely non-believers could just fake it right? Forget about the possible punishments in some of these countries if your non-belief is found out, or you show any sign of independent and rational thought...
Then while I was thinking of what could possibly done to help this person and many others that are out there I hear the oft unheard second verse of our national anthem and the below bars stuck out at me;
"For those who've come across the seas, We've boundless plains to share"
Maybe we need to change those lines...
Maybe we need to actually evaluate peoples cases a bit better and keep up on current reasons for refugees, it won't be long before we have homosexual refugees fleeing Russia's draconian homophobic laws, and non-believing refugees from the Middle Eastern, European, and African theocracies. As the aforementioned persons case is a tenuous one, I have spared details. But perhaps if everyone could write their local member, write the newspapers and let them know that non-believers are being persecuted and are likely to come here as refugees, then maybe awareness can be raised and this is the last time we lose someone who is not just a nice person, but would be a boon for any country.
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